Betting the Mid-Majors (Part 3)



Mid-Major teams often don't get the ink many top notch schools do but they can be a presence in both the regular season and the NCAA Tournament. Let's take look at the most likely candidates to take part in the Big Dance. Teams are listed in predicted order of finish. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2008/09 season are in parentheses:

 

COLONIAL CONFERENCE

VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH (24-10 SU, 15-16-1 ATS, 17-15 O/U): The Rams lost their best player to the NBA and their coach to Alabama but the return of four starters should have VCU shopping for another NCAA Tournament berth.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-6-1

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  4-6

Away Underdog:  1-2

Neutral Site:   5-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Rams were 5-9-1 ATS on three or more days rest.

Sports Betting Angle: VCU was 5-3 ATS in games following a SU defeat.

OLD DOMINION (25-10 SU, 14-15-1 ATS, 12-17-1 O/U): With every starter and key reserve back from the team that led the Colonial Conference in defense last year, there is justified optimism for an NCAA Tournament bid.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-9

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  2-2

Away Underdog:  6-2-1

Neutral Site:   0-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Monarchs were 8-4-1 ATS in road games.

Sports Betting Angle: Old Dominion was 4-8 ATS in games after a pointspread win.

NORTHEASTERN (19-13 SU, 16-14 ATS, 13-16-1 O/U): With only one starter gone from the team that held 17 opponents below 43 percent shooting last season, the Huskies join VCU and ODU in the quest for the Colonial Conference title.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-5

Home Underdog:  0-1

Away Favorite:  4-2

Away Underdog:  6-5

Neutral Site:   1-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies were 11-7 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 12-7 in Northeastern conference games.

SOUTHERN CONFERENCE

COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (27-9 SU, 17-14 ATS, 13-15 O/U): The Cougars will have outstanding perimeter play and excellent three-point shooting but must replace a pair of players who combined for 16.7 rebounds per game last season.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-7

Home Underdog:  1-1

Away Favorite:  4-4

Away Underdog:  3-2

Neutral Site:   3-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Cougars were 5-2 ATS in non-conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 14-8 in College of Charleston conference games.

WOFFORD (16-14 SU, 15-11 ATS, 13-12 O/U): All-stars Noah Dahlman (17.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG) and Junior Salters (15.0 PPG) lead a team that returns its starting five from the previous year. What's more, Tim Johnson tied for league honors with 8.7 RPG, helping make Wofford a threat to dislodge Charleston.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  3-4

Home Underdog:  1-1

Away Favorite:  2-0

Away Underdog:  9-4

Neutral Site:   0-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Terriers were11-4 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The “over” was 7-0 when Wofford was a home favorite.

APPALACHIAN STATE (13-18 SU, 11-15-2 ATS, 18-8 O/U): Buzz Peterson inherits a team that returns its starting five plus five other players who averaged double digit minutes. ASU led the conference in rebounding and will be tough in the paint.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  3-5

Home Underdog:  1-2

Away Favorite:  1-2

Away Underdog:  4-5-1

Neutral Site:   1-1-1

Sportsbook Buster: The “over” was 14-6 in Mountaineers conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: The “over” was 8-3 when Appalachian State played at home.

WESTERN CAROLINA (16-15 SU, 11-15-1 ATS, 12-11-1 O/U): With all five starters returning, including guard Harouna Mutombo, who averaged 14.4 PPG) as a freshman last season, the Catamounts c``ould be ready to challenge for a title.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-4

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  2-3

Away Underdog:  1-6-1

Neutral Site:   2-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Catamounts were 3-9-1 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: Western Carolina was 4-10 ATS in games following a SU win.