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MLB Betting: Inside The Al West

March 2008

The Angels may have coasted to a comfortable victory in the AL West but astute MLB betting fans also were able to find winning plays for the other three teams in the division last year.

Interestingly, while Los Angeles led the division straight up, the Angels had an ROI (Return on Investment) of -1.6 percent against the rest of the division’s teams, meaning that if you bet on LA in each of its 57 games versus Seattle, Oakland and Texas, you wound up a loser.

NFL bettors know they can rely on earning a profit if they wager on a straight up winning team all year against the line but, as backers of Texas are eager to point out, there are no such guarantees in baseball. In fact, although the Rangers finished last in the AL West, Texas had an ROI of +3.6 percent against the rest of the division.

Seattle boosters had plenty of ways to fatten their bankrolls just betting the Mariners in every game they played, which yielded a profit off 9.8 percent. Seattle also had an ROI of +12.7 percent at home and +12.2 percent in night games.

Oakland was less fruitful territory for baseball betting fans but the A’s did come through with an ROI of +16.4 percent when cast in the role of an underdog of +200 or more last year. The Athletics also had a ROI of +6.4 percent against teams from the AL East last season.

Hopefully, last year’s wagering numbers will unveil some clues to help develop a baseball betting strategy for this season in the American League West Division:

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (2007 Finish: 94-71, Won AL West)
Future Book Odds for 2008:
World Series: 12/1, Pennant: 7/1, Division: 2/5

By the Numbers:
Favorite: 75-48, Underdog: 19-23
Home: 54-28, Away: 40-43
Day: 29-23, Night: 65-48
Vs. Left: 19-21, Vs. Right: 75-50
One-Run Games: 25-19

Sportsbook MLB Betting Buster: The Angels had an ROI of -11.6 percent against teams from the American League’s Central Division last season, meaning that a bet on Los Angeles in each of those 43 games would have cost the bettor dearly.
Sports Betting Angle: Los Angeles had an ROI of +7.6 percent in home games last year.

SEATTLE MARINERS (2007 Finish: 88-74)
Future Book Odds for 2008:

World Series: 20/1, Pennant: 10/1, Division: 2/1

By the Numbers:
Favorite: 47-28, Underdog: 41-46
Home: 49-32, Away: 40-43
Day: 23-23, Night: 65-51
Vs. Left: 28-13, Vs. Right: 60-61
One-Run Games: 27-20

Sportsbook MLB Betting Buster: The Mariners posted an ROI of +33.9 percent against left-handed starting pitching last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Seattle backers reaped an ROI of +10.7 percent when they played the M’s as a favorite last year.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS (2007 Finish: 76-88)
Future Book Odds for 2008:

World Series: 70/1, Pennant: 35/1, Division: 10/1

By the Numbers:
Favorite: 44-45, Underdog: 32-41
Home: 40-41, Away: 36-45
Day: 27-32, Night: 49-54
Vs. Left: 24-22, Vs. Right: 52-64
One-Run Games: 25-24

Sportsbook MLB Betting Buster: The A’s were dismal in their own division, posting an ROI of -18.2 percent in the games versus the Angels, Mariners and Rangers last year.
Sports Betting Angle: Oakland had an ROI of -12.2 percent when facing right-handed starting pitching last season.

TEXAS RANGERS (2007 Finish: 75-87)
Future Book Odds for 2008:

World Series: 80/1, Pennant: 40/1, Division: 10/1

By the Numbers:
Favorite: 27-17, Underdog: 48-70
Home: 47-34, Away: 28-53
Day: 21-22, Night: 54-65
Vs. Left: 22-25, Vs. Right: 53-62
One-Run Games: 26-18

Sportsbook MLB Betting Buster: Rangers backers enjoyed a surprisingly strong ROI of +11.5 percent when the team was in the role of favorite last year.
Sports Betting Angle: Texas had an ROI of +17.3 percent in the 11 games in which the team was an underdog of +200 (bet $100 to win $200) or more last season.

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  • MLB Betting: Inside The AL Central


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