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College Football Betting: Analyzing the Big Ten

July 15, 2008

Big Ten teams were only a combined 22-22 ATS outside the conference, last season. Teams are listed in predicted order of finish with 2007 records, returning starters (RS) - including kickers--and returning lettermen (RL) in parentheses:

 

OHIO STATE (11-2 SU, 7-5 ATS, 19 RS, 53 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  81-20

ATS: 55-44-1

HF:  30-21-1

HD:   1-1

AF:  17-13

AD:   3-4

Sportsbook Buster: Since Coach Tressel's arrival in Columbus, the Buckeyes are 28-17-1 as a home favorite.

Sports Betting Angle: The home team in the Penn State series has covered nine of the last 10 meetings.

 

PENN STATE (9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS, 18 RS, 38 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  55-42

ATS: 48-47-1

HF:  22-16-1

HD:   8-6

AF:   7-10

AD:   9-12

Sportsbook Buster: The Nittany Lions have covered six of their last home games with Temple.

Sports Betting Angle: Penn State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games versus Purdue.

 

WISCONSIN (9-4 SU, 4-8 ATS, 17 RS, 48 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  69-34

ATS: 50-8-1

HF:  19-22-1

HD:   6-4

AF:  11-11

AD:   9-8

Sportsbook Buster: The Badgers are 1-10 as a double-digit road sports betting favorite.

Sports Betting Angle: Wisconsin is 5-0-1 ATS the last six times visiting Michigan.

 

MICHIGAN (9-4 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 10 RS, 45 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  73-27

ATS: 49-47-3

HF:  26-23-1

HD:   1-2

AF:  12-15-2

AD:   7-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Wolverines are 14-21 ATS versus non-conference opponents the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Michigan has covered seven of its last eight games at Minnesota.

 

IOWA (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, 13 RS, 52 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  60-39

ATS: 56-39-2

HF:  24-12

HD:   8-4-1

AF:   4-11

AD:  14-10-1

Sportsbook Buster: At 56-39-2, the Hawkeyes have the best pointspread record in the Big Ten over the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Iowa has covered just once in its past 10 games versus state rival Iowa State.

 

ILLINOIS (9-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, 13 RS, 44 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  37-57

ATS: 40-50

HF:  10-14

HD:  12-10

AF:   6-5

AD:  12-16

Sportsbook Buster: The Illini are a surprising 11-5 ATS in Big Ten play the last two years.

Sports Betting Angle: Illinois has covered six of its last seven games against Ohio State.

 

MICHIGAN STATE (7-6 SU, 8-4-1 ATS, 13 RS, 37 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  45-51

ATS: 40-53-3

HF:  13-23

HD:   6-8-3

AF:   4-10

AD:  15-11

Sportsbook Buster: The Spartans are just 17-33 as a sports betting favorite the past eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Michigan State is 9-2-1 ATS the last 12 years versus traditional rival Notre Dame.

 

PURDUE (8-5 SU, 6-6 ATS, 12 RS, 41 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  58-42

ATS: 46-47-4

HF:  23-18-1

HD:   4-3

AF:  10-11-2

AD:   6-10-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Boilermakers have covered seven of their last eight against the Wildcats at Northwestern.

Sports Betting Angle: Purdue has covered four consecutive home games against Minnesota.

 

NORTHWESTERN (6-6 SU, 4-7 ATS, 15 RS, 47 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  44-52

ATS: 47-45-2

HF:   6-14

HD:  16-10

AF:   7-3

AD:  16-16-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats are only 6-14 as a home favorite the past eight seasons, including 0-4 last year.

Sports Betting Angle: Northwestern has covered five in a row at Duke.

 

MINNESOTA (1-11 SU, 4-7 ATS, 15 RS, 42 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  49-49

ATS: 45-48

HF:  18-13

HD:   6-9

AF:  11-16

AD:   7-17

Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Gophers are just 18-33 ATS on the road the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Minnesota has covered six straight games at home against Indiana.

 

INDIANA (7-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, 13 RS, 50 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  32-61

ATS: 34-53-1

HF:  11-5

HD:  10-18

AF:   0-3-1

AD:  12-26

Sportsbook Buster: The Hoosiers are an atrocious 22-44 as sports betting underdogs since the 2000 season but 11-5 as a home favorite.

Sports Betting Angle: Indiana is a surprising 10-1 ATS in its first conference road game of the year.

 

 

Legend:

SU  = Straight Up                        

ATS = Against the Spread                 

HF = Home Favorite

HD = Home Underdog

AF = Away Favorite

AD = Away Underdog

 

This is the second installment of an 11-part preview series.

Next: College Football Betting: Analyzing the Big XII


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