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College Basketball Betting: Analzying the Big 12

November 7, 2008

Big 12 teams were 70-57-2 ATS outside their conference last season, providing a winning trend for students of college basketball betting. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2007/08 season are in parentheses:

 

TEXAS (31-7 SU, 18-14-1 ATS, 15-18 O/U): The Longhorns have a solid inside/outside game with Damion James (13.2 PPG, 10.3 RPG) and A.J. Abrams (16.5 PPG).

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-6

Home Underdog:  1-0

Away Favorite:  2-2

Away Underdog:  4-2

Neutral Site:   5-4-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Longhorns were 16-10-1 ATS after a SU victory last season.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 14-8 when Texas was a favorite last year.

 

OKLAHOMA (23-12 SU, 15-16-1 ATS, 13-18-1 O/U): Blake Griffin 14.7 PPG, 9.1 RPG) and a strong recruiting class have the Sooners vying for a conference title.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-6-1

Home Underdog:  1-0

Away Favorite:  1-1

Away Underdog:  4-5

Neutral Site:   3-4

Sportsbook Buster: The Sooners were 6-12 ATS in conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: Oklahoma was 9-4-1 as a non-conference favorite.

 

BAYLOR (21-11 SU, 13-12 ATS, 19-6 O/U): The Bears have experience and solid guard play but must improve their league-worst defense.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-6

Home Underdog:  1-1

Away Favorite:  1-0

Away Underdog:  6-2

Neutral Site:   3-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Bears were 7-2 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The “over” was 15-2 in Baylor’s conference games.

 

KANSAS (37-3 SU, 21-15-2 ATS, 18-20 O/U): Graduation took a heavy toll on the national champions.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite: 11-5-1

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-7-1

Away Underdog:  1-1

Neutral site:   7-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Jayhawks were 11-5-1 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Kansas was 20-12-2 ATS after a SU win.

 

TEXAS A&M (25-11 SU, 18-13 ATS, 11-20 O/U): The Aggies have a solid backcourt but lack muscle in the paint.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  7-7

Home Underdog:  0-1

Away Favorite:  3-3

Away Underdog:  1-2

Neutral Site:   7-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Aggies were 7-0 ATS on neutral courts.

Sports Betting Angle: Texas A&M was 11-5 ATS after a pointspread win.

 

OKLAHOMA STATE (17-16 SU, 12-12-1 ATS, 13-12 O/U): New Head Coach Travis Ford inherits a team that can shoot but lacks strong frontcourt play.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-2

Home Underdog:  2-1

Away Favorite:  0-1

Away Underdog:  4-6

Neutral Site:   2-2-1

Sportsbook Buster: The “under” was 11-7 when the Cowboys played in conference.

Sports Betting Angle: OSU was 6-3 as a favorite.

 

MISSOURI (16-16 SU, 8-17-1 ATS, 16-10 O/U): The Tigers have a couple of studs but still are lacking the component parts.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  3-5

Home Underdog:  2-1

Away Favorite:  0-2

Away Underdog:  2-6-1

Neutral Site:   1-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Tigers were 2-8-1 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: Missouri was 4-12-1 ATS in the Big 12.

 

TEXAS TECH (16-15 SU, 15-11 ATS, 14-11 O/U): Pat Knight has a team with plenty of shooters but nearly enough rebounders.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-3

Home Underdog:  3-0

Away Favorite:  1-0

Away Underdog:  2-6

Neutral Site:   2-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Red Raiders were 9-3 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Texas Tech was 11-6 ATS on three or more days rest.

 

NEBRASKA (20-13 SU, 12-13 ATS, 12-13 O/U): The Cornhuskers play hard but lack the requisite talent for a move up the standings.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-4

Home Underdog:  1-1

Away Favorite:  0-1

Away Underdog:  3-7

Neutral Site:   3-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Cornhuskers were 3-8 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The “over” was 9-5 when Nebraska was an underdog.

 

KANSAS STATE (21-12 SU, 12-15 ATS, 19-8 O/U): The loss of Michael Beasley (26.2 PPG, 12.4 RPG) is too much to overcome for the Wildcats.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-2

Home Underdog:  2-1

Away Favorite:  1-5

Away Underdog:  1-2

Neutral Site:   2-5

Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats were 8-3 ATS at home and 2-7 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The “over” was 14-4 when KSU was a favorite.

 

IOWA STATE (14-18 SU, 13-12 ATS, 14-11 O/U): The Cyclones should be better than last year but still won’t be a conference threat.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-0

Home Underdog:  3-3

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  5-6

Neutral Site:   1-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Cyclones were 7-4 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Iowa State was 4-8 ATS after a pointspread win.

 

COLORADO (12-20 SU, 16-12 ATS, 10-18 O/U): Defections and an absence of talent have the Buffaloes doomed for conference cellar residency.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  1-3

Home Underdog:  4-4

Away Favorite:  1-0

Away Underdog:  8-4

Neutral Site:   2-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Buffaloes were 9-4 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 15-7 when Colorado was an underdog.


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