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July 2007
This is the fifth of a 10-part college football betting season preview.
Oklahoma and Texas meet in the Red River Shootout in the Cotton Bowl on Oct. 6 in a contest that could decide one of the representatives in the BCS title tilt. (2006 Regular season records in parentheses):
South Division
OKLAHOMA (11-2 SU, 8-3-2 ATS):
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 75-11
ATS: 43-39-4
HF: 20-22-1
HD: 1-0
AF: 8-12-2
AD: 5-2
Bets and Pieces: The home team is 7-1-1 ATS in college football betting the last nine years in the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State rivalry.
TEXAS (9-3 SU, 5-6 ATS):
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 70-12
ATS: 46-34-1
HF: 24-16
HD: 0-0
AF: 14-12-1
AD: 4-0
Bets and Pieces: The Longhorns don't let down after playing Oklahoma; they're 7-1 ATS the last eight years after facing the Sooners.
TEXAS A&M (9-3 SU, 8-2-1 ATS):
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 45-35
ATS: 34-41-2
HF: 15-13
HD: 8-4-2
AF: 6-8
AD: 5-15
Bets and Pieces: The Aggies have been a dismal road team (11-23 ATS) the last seven seasons.
OKLAHOMA STATE (6-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS):
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 40-40
ATS: 36-37-1
HF: 11-7
HD: 11-8-1
AF: 7-3
AD: 7-19
Bets and Pieces: Oklahoma State is just 8-21-2 ATS in its last 31 conference road games.
TEXAS TECH (7-5 SU, 5-6 ATS):
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 52-30
ATS: 42-35-1
HF: 21-11-1
HD: 3-4
AF: 7-10
AD: 11-10
Bets and Pieces: Tech has owned Baylor the last 16 years, posting a 1303 record ATS.
BAYLOR (4-8 SU, 3-8 ATS):
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 23-57
ATS: 30-42-1
HF: 4-3
HD: 10-19-1
AF: 3-0
AD: 12-20
Bets and Pieces: Since 1995, Baylor is 13-29-2 ATS as a home underdog. You've been warned!
North Division
MISSOURI (8-4 SU, 5-6 ATS): With 14 returning starters and the all-important games versus Nebraska in Columbia this year, the Tigers are a slight favorite to win the Big 12 North this season.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 39-41
ATS: 38-37-1
HF: 15-11
HD: 7-6
AF: 3-9-1
AD: 10-11
Bets and Pieces: Missouri is just 3-8-1 ATS in college football betting in its last 12 meetings with Oklahoma.
NEBRASKA (9-4 SU, 7-4-1 ATS): The Cornhuskers return just 11 starters and play USC again this season but should be able to generate a bowl season. The key is the Oct. 6 visit to Missouri.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 57-26
ATS: 40-38-1
HF: 21-18
HD: 4-2
AF: 12-10-1
AD: 3-7
Bets and Pieces: Nebraska is 5-1-1 all-time ATS versus Texas A&M, which it faces on Oct. 20.
KANSAS STATE (7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS): The return of 15 starters and a second season under Coach Ron Prince should have the Wildcats in the thick of the Big 12 North race.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 53-31
ATS: 43-34-1
HF: 21-15
HD: 6-2
AF: 9-9
AD: 6-6
Bets and Pieces: Kansas State is 11-2 both SU and ATS versus state rival Kansas the last 13 years.
COLORADO (2-10 SU, 4-7 ATS): Crushed by injuries and devastated by five defeats by less than a touchdown, with 15 starters back, the Buffaloes should show solid improvement.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 43-41
ATS: 41-42
HF: 13-16
HD: 6-5
AF: 7-5
AD: 11-10
Bets and Pieces: Since 1986, the underdog is 13-4 ATS in the Colorado-Colorado State rivalry.
KANSAS (6-6 SU, 6-5 ATS): It's nice having neither Oklahoma nor Texas on the schedule, a factor which could lead the unlucky Jayhawks (two losses by a field goal or less, plus two overtime defeats last year) to a winning record.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 31-49
ATS: 32-42
HF: 9-8
HD: 8-14
AF: 2-2
AD: 13-17
Bets and Pieces: The home team is 12-3-1 ATS in the Kansas-Iowa State series since 1991.
IOWA STATE (4-8 SU, 3-8 ATS): With just 11 starters and a league-low 28 lettermen returning it's difficult to see how the Cyclones avoid another cellar-dweller season in the Big 12 North.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2000-2006)
SU: 41-40
ATS: 37-38
HF: 13-7
HD: 6-13
AF: 5-3
AD: 12-15
Bets and Pieces: Iowa State has been solid as a favorite (18-10) but awful as an underdog (18-28) ATS the last seven seasons.
Legend:
SU = Straight Up
ATS = Against the Spread
HF = Home Favorite
HD = Home Underdog
AF = Away Favorite
AD = Away Underdog
Our next college football betting analysis will be on the Big East and Independents.
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