College Basketball Betting: Analyzing The Big 12



The Big 12 played just .500 ball ATS outside the conference last year, leaving students of basketball betting to ponder if the league will be as good as advertised this season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:

KANSAS (33-5 SU, 18-18 ATS, 18-18 O/U): Thirteen of 14 lettermen return to the team that made it to the NCAA Championship Elite Eight last season, making the Jayhawks tough to beat.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-9
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 6-4
Away Underdog: 0-0
Neutral site: 4-5
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 12-7 in the Jayhawks conference games last season.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 11-6 when Kansas was a home favorite during the 2006/07 season.

TEXAS A&M (27-7 SU, 19-11 ATS, 16-14 O/U): PG Acie Law (18.1 PPG, 5.0 APG) will be missed but new Head Coach Mark Turgeon has a solid cast.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 9-6
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 6-1
Away Underdog: 2-2
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Aggies were 17-9 as a favorite, including 6-1 as a road favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: Texas A&M was 11-6 ATS on three or more days rest.

TEXAS (25-10 SU, 17-13 ATS, 18-11 O/U): There's no replacing Kevin Durant (25.8 PPG, 11.1 RPG) but at least everyone else is back from the 25-win team.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-4
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 4-3
Neutral Site: 4-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Longhorns were 13-6 ATS in the Big 12.
Sports Betting Angle: Texas was 13-8 ATS after a SU victory.

MISSOURI (18-12 SU, 10-13 ATS, 12-9-2 O/U): Strong backcourt of Stefhon Hannah (15.4 PPG) and Matt Lawrence (11.2 PPG) has Tigers eyeing an NCAA bid.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-6
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 1-0
Away Underdog: 2-5
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Tigers were 6-11 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: Missouri was 2-9 ATS on three or more days rest.

KANSAS STATE (23-13 SU, 19-11 ATS, 14-16 O/U): Only two starters return but first year Head Coach Frank Martin inherits a recruiting class that was ranked second nationally. Time will tell.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-4
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 2-0
Away Underdog: 5-6
Neutral Site: 4-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats were 12-4 ATS as a favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: KSU was 17-9 ATS on two or more days rest.

TEXAS TECH (21-12 SU, 13-16-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U): G Martin Zeno (16.6 PPG) heads a solid backcourt but Coach Bob Knight needs some beef up front.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-6
Home Underdog: 2-0
Away Favorite: 2-1-1
Away Underdog: 4-3
Neutral Site: 0-6
Sportsbook Buster: The Red Raiders were 0-6 ATS on neutral courts.
Sports Betting Angle: Texas Tech was 7-4-1 ATS on the road.

OKLAHOMA STATE (22-13 SU, 10-17-1 ATS, 12-16 O/U): Loss of their top two scorers will complicate things for the Cowboys.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-7-1
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 1-6
Neutral Site: 7-2
Sportsbook Buster: Excluding games on neutral courts, the Cowboys were 3-15-1 ATS.
Sports Betting Angle: OSU was 2-8-1 ATS at home.

OKLAHOMA (16-15 SU, 10-13-2 ATS, 9-16 O/U): Defense allowed fewer than 60 PPG on average last season but Sooners need an offense, too.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-2
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 0-1-1
Away Underdog: 1-5-1
Neutral Site: 1-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Sooners were 2-8-1 as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: Oklahoma was 1-6-2 ATS on the road.

IOWA STATE (15-16 SU, 12-14-1 ATS, 11-16 O/U): Hawkeyes have a strong inside presence but guard play is suspect after the dismissal of Mike Taylor (16.0 PPG).
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-5
Home Underdog: 2-1-1
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 6-5
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Hawkeyes were 2-6 as favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 8-2 after an Iowa State ATS victory.

BAYLOR (15-16 SU, 13-8-1 ATS, 11-11 O/U): The Bears return most of their significant players and a little improvement could go a long way.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-1
Home Underdog: 2-2-1
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 5-5
Neutral Site: 3-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Bears were a surprising 11-6-1 ATS in Big 12 play.
Sports Betting Angle: Baylor was 6-3 ATS following a SU victory.

NEBRASKA (17-14 SU, 12-13-1 ATS, 13-13 O/U): Aleks Maric (18.5 PPG, 8.7 RPG) is the Big 12's top returning scorer and rebounder but has little help.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-1
Home Underdog: 1-2
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 2-5-1
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Cornhuskers were 6-11 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: Nebraska was 2-8 ATS after a pointspread win.

COLORADO (7-20 SU, 10-16 ATS, 12-14 O/U): Richard Roby (17.3 PPG) is the brightest light on a team that should hit double-digit victories this season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-2
Home Underdog: 4-7
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 4-7
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Buffaloes were 9-14 ATS as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Colorado was 2-7 ATS after a pointspread win.

This is the seventh of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping Conference USA.