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COLLEGE BASKETBALL BETTING:
ANALYZING THE ATLANTIC 10

November 2007

X again marks the spot for Atlantic 10 basketball betting junkies who rode Xavier to a solid pointspread season a year ago. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:

XAVIER (25-9 SU, 18-12-1 ATS, 19-11 O/U): There were losses up front but Drew Lavender and Stanley Burrell form the league's best backcourt.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 11-3
Home Underdog: 4-5
Away Favorite: 4-5
Away Underdog: 0-1
Neutral site: 3-3-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Musketeers were 11-3 ATS as home favorites last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Xavier was 8-2-1 ATS following a pointspread loss last season.

ST. JOSEPH'S (18-14 SU, 12-15-1 ATS, 15-13 O/U): The Hawks have A-10's best frontcourt and a top guard in Iowa State transfer Tasheed Carr.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-3-1
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 1-3
Away Underdog: 3-2
Neutral Site: 2-5
Sportsbook Buster: The Hawks were 6-10-1 ATS as a favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: St. Joe's was 3-8 ATS after a pointspread win.

SAINT LOUIS (20-13 SU, 14-17 ATS, 14-16-1 O/U): Rick Majerus (422 wins elsewhere) inherits four starters, including F Tommie Liddell (15.4 PPG, 6.6 RPG).
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-6
Home Underdog: 2-1
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 5-6
Neutral Site: 2-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Billikens were 2-9 ATS after a SU loss.
Sports Betting Angle: Saint Louis was 6-10 ATS on three or more days rest.

RHODE ISLAND (19-14 SU, 14-16 ATS, 23-7 O/U): The Rams have plenty of firepower, including F Will Daniels (17.4 PPG), but need to play better defense.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-5
Home Underdog: 1-3
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 6-5
Neutral Site: 3-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Rams were 4-8 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: Rhode Island played 23-of-30 games "over," including nine-of-11 as the favorite.

GEORGE WASHINGTON (23-9 SU, 13-13-1 ATS, 11-15-1 O/U): The Colonials need a point guard to extend their NCAA Tournament streak to four.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season) Home Favorite: 5-3-1
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 2-2
Away Underdog: 1-5
Neutral Site: 4-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Colonials were 10-5-1 as a favorite but 2-8 as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: GW was 7-4 ATS after a pointspread victory.

FORDHAM (18-12 SU, 10-16-1 ATS, 11-16 O/U): Everyone returns to the team that won 18 games last season so at least 20 wins are expected.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-5
Home Underdog: 1-2
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 2-5-1
Neutral Site: 1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Rams were 2-7-1 ATS following a SU victory.
Sports Betting Angle: Fordham was 4-8-1 ATS following a pointspread defeat.

DAYTON (19-12 SU, 11-16 ATS, 15-11-1 O/U): Brian Roberts (18.5 PPG) is one of four returning starters on a solid team.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-5
Home Underdog: 1-2
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 2-6
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Flyers were 5-10 ATS after a SU win.
Sports Betting Angle: Dayton was 5-10 ATS following a pointspread loss.

DUQUESNE (10-19 SU, 16-9 ATS, 16-9 O/U): If the Dukes can just play a little D, they can turn this thing around in a hurry.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-3
Home Underdog: 5-3
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 10-1
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Dukes were an impressive 16-4 ATS as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Duquesne was 10-4 ATS on three or more days rest.

TEMPLE (12-18 SU, 12-17 ATS, 19-9-1 O/U): Dionte Christmas (20.0 PPG) and Mark Tyndale (19.4 PPG) are quite the one-two punch but the Owls are clawless in the paint.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-5
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 2-2
Away Underdog: 2-7
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Owls were 2-7 as away underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Temple was 11-4-1 ASTS after a SU defeat.

MASSACHUSETTS (24-9 SU, 13-14-1 ATS, 18-10 O/U): Tough to pick the Minutemen this low but UMass lost 39.7 PPG and 20 RPG to graduation.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-7
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 5-2-1
Away Underdog: 1-4
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Minutemen were 1-4 as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: UMass was 11-5 ATS on three or more days rest.

CHARLOTTE (14-16 SU, 12-15-2 ATS, 15-14 O/U): Leemire Goldwire (14.5 PPG) can drain the trey but he can't do it all alone.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-4-1
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 1-0
Away Underdog: 3-7-1
Neutral Site: 1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The 49ers 3-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: Charlotte was 9-5 ATS after a SU victory.

LA SALLE (10-20 SU, 10-12-1 ATS, 11-12 O/U): The young Explorers should be better but real improvement is still a year away.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-3
Home Underdog: 4-2-1
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 4-2
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Explorers were 8-4-1 ATS as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: La Salle was 6-10-1 ATS following a SU loss.

RICHMOND (8-22 SU, 13-13 ATS, 12-14 O/U): You're not going to win many games averaging 60.6 PPG, which the Spiders did last season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-3
Home Underdog: 5-4
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 7-6
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Spiders were 0-3 as favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Richmond was 5-8 ATS on three or more days rest.

ST. BONAVENTURE (7-22 SU, 11-10-1 ATS, 14-8 O/U): The Bonnies defense is just too porous to expect a double-digit number of victories.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-3
Home Underdog: 4-3-1
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 7-3
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Bonnies were 11-6-1 ATS as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: St. Bonaventure was 10-5-1 ATS after a SU loss.

This is the sixth of 22 NCAA basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Big 12

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