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November 2007
College basketball betting fans will be warily eyeing a conference that has lost much of its muscle from a year ago. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:
MICHIGAN STATE (23-12 SU, 17-13 ATS, 11-18-1 O/U): All five starters, including G Drew Neitzel (18.1 PPG), return to East Lansing.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 10-4
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 2-4
Neutral site: 3-3
Sportsbook Buster: Spartans were 11-4 ATS at home last season.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 9-1 in the game following a Michigan State SU loss.
INDIANA (21-11 SU, 14-15 ATS, 16-13 O/U): Forward D.J. White (13.8 PPG, 7.3 RPG) gets outside help from heralded freshman G Eric Gordon.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-6
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 1-3
Away Underdog: 3-4
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Hoosiers were 4-7 on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 11-6 in Indiana conference games.
OHIO STATE (35-4 SU, 22-15 ATS, 17-19-1 O/U): Greg Oden and Mike Conley (the Nos. 1 and 4 picks in the NBA Draft) will be missed but OSU has a fantastic freshman class.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 9-8
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 3-2
Away Underdog: 3-2
Neutral Site: 7-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Buckeyes were 6-0 ATS in regular season tournaments.
Sports Betting Angle: OSU was 14-8 ATS after a pointspread victory.
WISCONSIN (30-6 SU, 16-13-2 ATS, 15-16 O/U): We count three enormous losses, including Big Ten Player of the Year Alando Tucker, but the Badgers had some depth last year.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-7-1
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 4-2
Away Underdog: 2-1
Neutral Site: 3-1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Badgers were 10-5-1 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 11-6 when Wisconsin played on three or more days rest.
PURDUE (22-12 SU, 20-10 ATS, 13-17 O/U): Dangerous from the arc but the Boilermakers need to develop an inside game.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 10-2
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 2-2
Away Underdog: 2-3
Neutral Site: 6-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Boilermakers were 10-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: Purdue was 8-2 ATS after a SU loss.
ILLINOIS (23-12 SU, 11-19 ATS, 9-21 O/U): Opposite of Purdue: Illinois can bang but needs better perimeter play.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-6
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 3-1
Away Underdog: 1-4
Neutral Site: 2-7
Sportsbook Buster: The "under" was 13-7 in games where the Illini were favored.
Sports Betting Angle: Illinois was 3-10 ATS on three or more days rest.
PENN STATE (11-19 SU, 11-11 ATS, 10-12 O/U): Improved play in the backcourt could have the Lions vying for a winning season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-0
Home Underdog: 2-5
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 4-6
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Nittany Lions were 3-0 as home favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: PSU was 1-17 SU as an underdog, including 7-11 ATS.
MICHIGAN (22-13 SU, 13-18 ATS, 14-17 O/U): New Head Coach John Beilein will be starting from scratch after the Wolverines lost their top four scorers.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-7
Home Underdog: 3-1
Away Favorite: 3-1
Away Underdog: 0-8
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Wolverines were 0-8 as an away underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: Michigan was 6-14 ATS after a SU win.
MINNESOTA (9-22 SU, 9-17-2 ATS, 13-14 O/U): Tubby Smith will rebuild around G Lawrence McKenzie (14.9 PPG) but this isn't Kentucky.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-4-1
Home Underdog: 1-6
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 6-3-1
Neutral Site: 0-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Gophers were 3-10-1 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: Minnesota was 4-13-2 ATS after a SU win.
NORTHWESTERN (13-18 SU, 13-13 ATS, 15-11 O/U): Good freshman class but Wildcats are still a year or two away from contention.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-5
Home Underdog: 5-3
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 5-4
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats were 1-6 ATS as favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Northwestern was 7-3 ATS after a pointspread loss.
IOWA (17-14 SU, 14-14-2 ATS, 19-10-1 O/U): New head man Todd Lickliter inherits a team without many scoring prospects.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-5-1
Home Underdog: 2-1
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 4-3-1
Neutral Site: 1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 12-5 in the Hawkeyes' Big Ten games.
Sports Betting Angle: Iowa was 4-7-2 ATS following a pointspread win.
This is the fifth of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Atlantic-10.
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