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COLLEGE BASKETBALL BETTING:
ANALYZING THE PAC-10

October 2007

The Pac-10 could be the nation's strongest hoop loop this year, hardly a surprise to college basketball betting fans who backed the league's teams to the tune of a 63-48-3 ATS record versus non-conference foes. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:

UCLA (30-6 SU, 18-16 ATS, 16-18 O/U): Seven of the top eight scorers return from back-to-back Final Four teams. What more do you need to know?
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-7
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 4-6
Away Underdog: 1-0
Neutral site: 5-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Bruins were 10-5 ATS versus non-conference opponents, last season.
Sports Betting Angle: UCLA was 6-3 ATS in tournament play during the 2006/07 campaign.

WASHINGTON STATE (26-8 SU, 17-15 ATS, 17-17-1 O/U): Nearly everyone returns, including the senior backcourt of Kyle Weaver (11.2 PPG, 4.6 APG) and Derrick Low (13.7 PPG).
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-5
Home Underdog: 2-1
Away Favorite: 1-4
Away Underdog: 5-2
Neutral Site: 3-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Cougars were 12-7 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: Washington State was 7-3 ATS as an underdog.

STANFORD (18-13 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 14-17-1 O/U): Everyone who matters returns from the team that beat every significant opponent in the conference last season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-7-1
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 2-0
Away Underdog: 5-4
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Cardinal was 11-6 ATS following a SU victory.
Sports Betting Angle: Stanford was 11-7-1 ATS in conference play.

OREGON (29-8 SU, 17-16-2 ATS, 16-17-1 O/U): The departure of Aaron Brooks hurts but the Ducks return four other double-digit scoring starters.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-7-1
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 0-4
Away Underdog: 3-3-1
Neutral Site: 5-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Ducks were 0-4 ATS as road favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 12-5 ATS when Oregon plays on three or more days rest.

ARIZONA (20-11 SU, 14-16-1 ATS, 14-17 O/U): Soon-to-be lottery pick Chase Budinger (15.6 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and a strong freshman class should keep the Cats clawing for post-season honors.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-8-1
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 3-5
Away Underdog: 3-0
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats were 7-12 ATS in Pac-10 competition.
Sports Betting Angle: Arizona was 6-11-1 ATS on three or more days rest.

CALIFORNIA (16-17 SU, 16-15-1 ATS, 17-14-1 O/U): Tough in the paint and inexperienced in the backcourt, the Bears have the potential to surprise teams this season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-4
Home Underdog: 1-4
Away Favorite: 2-0
Away Underdog: 4-4-1
Neutral Site: 4-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Bears were 9-4-1 ATS following an ATS defeat.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 13-3 after a California SU win.

USC (25-12 SU, 21-11-1 ATS, 19-12-2 O/U): The Trojans welcome highly touted recruit O.J. Mayo and three other freshmen to a team that is oh so young but oh so promising.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season) Home Favorite: 8-5-1
Home Underdog: 2-0
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 5-2
Neutral Site: 4-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Trojans were 10-1 ATS after a SU loss.
Sports Betting Angle: USC had the best pointspread record in the Pac-10 and led the conference in "over" games.

WASHINGTON (19-13 SU, 13-17-1 ATS, 16-15 O/U): C Spencer Hayes has left for the NBA but four other returning starters give the Huskies a chance to cause some trouble.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-7-1
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 2-7
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies were 2-7 ATS as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 11-6 when Washington played on three or more days rest.

ARIZONA STATE (8-22 SU, 12-13-2 ATS, 11-16 O/U): Six newcomers will give the Sun Devils a fresh look but real progress probably is a couple of years away.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-4
Home Underdog: 5-3
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 5-4-2
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The "under" was 14-6 when the Sun Devils were an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 13-6 in the game following a SU loss.

OREGON STATE (11-21 SU, 14-13 ATS, 11-16 O/U): Marcel Jones (15.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG) doesn't have much help.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-1
Home Underdog: 6-5
Away Favorite: 1-0
Away Underdog: 4-6
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Beavers were 9-6 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 10-5 when Oregon State played on three or more days rest.

This is the fourth of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Big Ten.

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