College Basketball Betting: Analyzing The Big West Conference



Long Beach State, one of the traditional powers of the conference, also proved to be the best friend of college basketball betting fans, last season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:

UC SANTA BARBARA (18-11 SU, 14-11-1 ATS, 15-10-1 O/U): The return of four starters, including league scoring champ Alex Harris (21.1 PPG), makes the Gauchos an easy choice for conference laurels.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-5
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 3-1
Away Underdog: 5-3-1
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Gauchos were 8-4-1 ATS on the road last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Santa Barbara was 10-5 ATS in games following a SU win.

UC IRVINE (15-18 SU, 12-17 ATS, 12-17-1 O/U): The Anteaters have muscle in the paint and a veteran backcourt, the key ingredients needed to make a significant move up the Big West ladder, this season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-6
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 7-7
Neutral site: 1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Anteaters were 5-12 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: Irvine was 3-7 ATS after a pointspread victory.

CAL STATE-FULLERTON (20-10 SU, 10-11-2 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U): Scott Cutley (15.6 PPG, 9.5 RPG) gives the Titans legitimacy under the basket but the backcourt is bound to miss three-time all Big West G Bobby Brown (20.2 PPG).
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-4-1
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 2-1-1
Away Underdog: 3-5
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 10-5-1 in Titans conference games.
Sports Betting Angle: Fullerton was 2-5-1 ATS after a pointspread win.

PACIFIC (12-19 SU, 11-17 ATS, 15-13 O/U): Juniors Anthony Brown (14.3 PPG, 7.2 RPG) and Steffan Johnson (9.7 PPG, 3.7 APG) will be the nucleus of a team that should be vastly improved this season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-5
Home Underdog: 0-2
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 6-5
Neutral Site: 1-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Tigers were 3-7 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: Pacific was 5=12 ATS following a SU win.

CAL POLY-SLO (19-11 SU, 16-10 ATS, 14-11-1 O/U): The Mustangs have the horses on the perimeter but need to develop some strength in the frontcourt to approach last year's record.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-1
Home Underdog: 1-2
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 5-4
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Mustangs were 7-1 as home favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo was 11-5 ATS in Big West play.

CAL STATE-NORTHRIDGE (14-17 SU, 12-12-1 ATS, 13-11-1 O/U): The Matadors will have to take better care of the basketball (19 turnovers a game last year) if they're to flirt with a .500 record.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-5
Home Underdog: 1-0-1
Away Favorite: 1-0
Away Underdog: 4-6
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 7-3-1 in Matadors home games.
Sports Betting Angle: Northridge was 6-3-1 ATS after a pointspread victory.

UC DAVIS (5-23 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 O/U): The Aggies have some talent in the backcourt, including Vince Oliver (12.7 PPG) but still lack rebounding. Wait 'til next year.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-0
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 0-0
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: In limited action the Aggies were 0-2 ATS versus non-conference teams.
Sports Betting Angle: In limited action Davis was 0-2 as an underdog.

LONG BEACH STATE (24-8 SU, 17-11 ATS, 17-10-1 O/U): Zero, zip, nada. That's how many starters return, leaving Artis Gant (1.9 PPG) as the leading returning scorer. A rebuilding year if there ever was one.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-5
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 4-1
Away Underdog: 3-4
Neutral Site: 4-1
Sportsbook Buster: The 49ers were 11-5 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: Long Beach State was 9-1 ATS on one or no days rest.

UC RIVERSIDE (7-24 SU, 14-11 ATS, 14-11 O/U): Larry Cunningham (13.7 PPG) is a competent guard but he doesn't have much quality help.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-0
Home Underdog: 3-4
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 9-6
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Highlanders were 9-3 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 10-5 in Riverside road games.

This is the 18th of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Big Sky Conference.