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November 2007
The worst team in the league was the best against the spread last season, something college basketball betting followers will be watching this year. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:
NEW MEXICO STATE (25-9 SU, 14-15 ATS, 13-15 O/U): The Aggies are loaded with talent and rate the favorite's role to capture the WAC title.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-10
Home Underdog: 1-2
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 7-2
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Aggies were 6-12 ATS last season.
Sports Betting Angle: New Mexico State was 4-11 ATS on three or more days rest during the 2006/07 season.
UTAH STATE (23-12 SU, 13-16 ATS, 17-10-2 O/U): Jaycee Carroll (21.3 PPG) is the best player in the WAC and he's got the help for Utah State to challenge New Mexico State.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-6
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 0-3
Away Underdog: 4-6
Neutral site: 4-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Aggies were 4-9 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: Utah State was 4-0 ATS on no rest.
NEVADA (29-5 SU, 16-13-2 ATS, 19-11-1 O/U): Marcellus Kemp (18.5 PPG) is good but the loss of two players to the NBA is too much to overcome.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-8-1
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 6-2-1
Away Underdog: 3-0
Neutral Site: 3-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Wolf Pack was a stellar 9-3 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: Nevada was 8-3-1 ATS after a pointspread defeat.
BOISE STATE (17-14 SU, 15-13-1 ATS, 16-12 O/U): Reggie Larry (14.1 PPG, 8.1 RPG) and Matt Nelson (13.5 PPG, 8.9 RPG) give the Broncos muscle but guard play is a concern.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-1
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 4-6-1
Neutral Site: 2-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Broncos were 9-1 ATS following a pointspread loss.
Sports Betting Angle: Boise State was 10-5 ATS on three or more days rest.
FRESNO STATE (22-10 SU, 14-16 ATS, 14-15 O/U): Kevin Bell (5.6 APG) dishes to Hector Hernandez (11.2 PPG) but there's not much else.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-7
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 0-5
Away Underdog: 5-2
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs were 6-11 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: Fresno State was 8-13 as a favorite.
HAWAII (18-13 SU, 14-15 ATS, 12-17 O/U): Good backcourt but the Warriors are short on post players.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-6
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 4-4
Neutral Site: 1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The "under" was 7-2 when the Warriors were an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: Hawaii was 3-5 ATS on one day rest.
SAN JOSE STATE (5-25 SU, 13-17 ATS, 10-20 O/U): The Spartans don't even return a double-digit scorer.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-2
Home Underdog: 5-3
Away Favorite: 1-0
Away Underdog: 6-10
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Spartans were 3-10 ATS versus non-conference foes.
Sports Betting Angle: San Jose State was 4-12 ATS after a pointspread victory.
LOUISIANA TECH (10-20 SU, 10-15-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U): Just one starter returns so not much is expected in Ruston, La.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-2
Home Underdog: 4-3
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 4-7-1
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs were 3-10 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: Louisiana Tech was 1-8 ATS after a pointspread triumph.
IDAHO (4-27 SU, 16-8-1 ATS, 16-9 O/U): Not much to recommend... except that sterling pointspread record.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-2
Home Underdog: 6-2-1
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 9-3
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Vandals were a profitable 16-6-1 as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Idaho was 10-4 ATS following a pointspread win.
This is the 11th of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Colonial Athletic Association.
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